International Monetary Fund raises Japan growth forecast, cuts global estimate due to trade tension

Finance Minister Asad Umar speaks in a video message. — DawnNewsTV

The State Bank of Pakistan said it believes "this adjustment in the exchange rate, along with lagged impact of recent hikes in [interest rates] and other policy measures to contain imports will correct the imbalances in the external account".

The IMF said the balance of risks was now tilted to the downside, with a higher likelihood that financial conditions will tighten further as interest rates normalize, hurting emerging markets further at a time when US -led demand growth will start to slow as some tax cuts expire.

The IMF predicted United Kingdom growth to would be 1.4% in 2018, rising to 1.5% in 2019, while the eurozone 2018 growth forecast was cut to 2.0% from 2.2%.

A bull run has taken USA equities to record highs this year.

During the meeting, financial assistance was requested from the International Monetary Fund to help address Pakistan's economic challenges, she said.

The 0.2 percentage point downgrade to the 2019 growth forecast is attributable to the negative effect of recent tariff actions, assumed to be partially offset by policy stimulus, it said.

The ongoing trade war between the USA and China could start having material effects on the economies of both countries within the coming years, according to new projections from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

As interest rates rise in advanced economies, prompting investors to take their money in search of higher returns, the IMF said emerging economies should take steps to insulate themselves from an exodus of funds.

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The leaders met Thursday in Bali, Indonesia, on the sidelines of the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank.

Emerging Asia continued to register strong growth, supported by a domestic demand-led pickup in the Indian economy from a four-year-low pace of expansion in 2017, even as activity in China moderated in the second quarter in response to regulatory tightening of the property sector and non-bank financial intermediation, it said.

Ms Lagarde went on to suggest that countries who engage in trade and currency wars that hurt global growth would imperil "innocent bystanders".

According to the IMF, Japan's growth is projected to soften to 0.9 percent in 2019, unchanged from the July estimate.

"And to really understand the extent and composition of that debt, both in terms of sovereign, in terms of state-owned enterprises and the like of it, so that we can actually really appreciate and determine the debt sustainability of that country, if and when we consider a programme".

"Six months ago, we saw a very balanced expansion, said Obstfeld".

Trump renewed his threat to impose tariffs on $267 billion worth of additional Chinese imports if Beijing retaliates further with its own higher levies on USA products entering China.

The exercise assumes that U.S. President Donald Trump imposes tariffs on the remaining $267 billion worth of Chinese goods imports not already under punitive tariffs and China retaliates in kind.

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