Warm and sunny Friday, then watching for weekend rain

Scenes of damage in Rock County Friday

A warm start to the day across the Tennessee Valley with temperatures in the upper 50s and low 60s for much of the area.

"This is a transition day".

At this time, our KTRE viewing is still under a "medium" risk for severe weather, which is a level two out of four on our severe risk scale. In the state's northwest, temperatures are set to fall near freezing early Sunday and below freezing Monday morning. That will allow our temperatures to rise into the lower 70s, but it will also give the atmosphere an opportunity to recharge. This means that there will be scattered severe thunderstorms as a cold front moves through the area.

Dryline is moving a little slower than anticipated, so DFW now has a little better chance of seeing some storms this PM/eve. "The main threat will be gusty winds as a line of storms moves through the area". We will stay dry, but clouds will begin building Friday afternoon. Just stay weather aware.

Another round of showers and storms is possible late Saturday afternoon and evening.

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A few of the storms west of St. Louis could produce an isolated tornado, but the St. Louis metropolitan region is not included in that threat.

Your Carolina "future radar" model remains active late in the weekend with a cold front forcing a strong line of showers and storms.

RAIN: Rain amounts of 2 to 3 inches are likely, with isolated heavier amounts. These could be severe and bring hail or damaging wind. "We certainly will have the potential for some large hail, damaging winds and the potential for a tornado if the right type of storm develops".

The storms will continue through Saturday, which is when much of the locally heavy rainfall is anticipated. Tomorrow will see a south west wind that will lift the humidity even more and I suspect many will find tomorrow uncomfortably humid. The coldest morning and the greatest threat of frost will come early Tuesday with a clear sky and light wind; some of the normally colder spots around here could see a light freeze.

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