Tesla Model 3 owner walks away from 60mph crash

The auto will come within the Earth-moon distance to the planet in 2091, possibly allowing telescopes on Earth to view the vehicle and "Starman".

The SpaceX Tesla Roadster, which was launched into space on February 6.

"Although we are not able to tell on which planet the auto will ultimately end up, we're comfortable saying it won't survive in space for more than a few tens of millions of years", Rein said. It will pass within about 68.7 million miles of Mars on June 10 and cross the red planet's orbit in July before reaching its farthest distance from the sun - 154.7 million miles - on November 9. There is a 2.5% chance of it colliding with Venus in the next one million years. The paper titled "The random walk of cars and their collision probabilities with planets" was penned by a trio of researchers from the University of Toronto. Canadian astrophysicists recently undertook a model test on the Roadster's orbit and found out that it will soon crash into the Earth.

Musk heard about the matter from Teslarati and said Tesla would take action via software and possibly hardware fixes. The repeated encounters lead to a random walk that eventually causes close encounters with other terrestrial planets and the sun.

According to astrophysicist Hanno Rein and his team from the University of Toronto in Canada, the probability of Musk's cherry-red auto hurtling back home is 6% over a million years. Long-term integrations become highly sensitive to the initial conditions after several such close encounters. "We've not seen any single collision with Mars in 240 simulations, though we continue to run them and see what happens", Rein said.

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"We estimate the dynamical lifetime of the Tesla to be a few tens of millions of years". That's when Starman will come within about 68-million miles of the red planet.

"Each time it passes Earth, the vehicle will get a gravitational kick", explains Dan Tamayo, a postdoctoral fellow at the University and co-author of the paper.

The asteroid belt lies between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter, and contains most of the asteroids in the solar system, where they rotate around the sun.

But he adds that it is impossible to map out the vehicle's path with certainty because any encounters with other space objects, however small, could result in changes in the car's trajectory.

According to the team, Earth is the most likely place that the auto will eventually crash.

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